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The market is wrong. Here's the proof.
Ember is a public AI prediction engine built on a simple premise: an AI that won't show its work isn't worth trusting. Every morning at 7AM EST, three genuinely different AI models, Claude (Anthropic), Grok (xAI), and Gemini (Google), independently call live Polymarket markets before they resolve. They don't consult each other. When they disagree with the crowd by 10+ points, that divergence is flagged as a high-conviction signal. Every call is timestamped before the outcome. Accuracy is tracked using Brier scores, a calibration metric that rewards both accuracy and confidence. The model that beats the crowd most consistently across 365 days wins. Nothing is edited after the fact. Every wrong call gets a post-mortem. The record builds in public.
Founder
emberfyicom77
Launch Date
April 26, 2026
Launch Tags
Pricing
Free
Ember launched on What Launched Today on April 26, 2026. Ranked #12 of 15 launches on April 26, 2026. Tagged as prediction markets. Be the first to upvote this launch. The market is wrong. Here's the proof.
17/100
Ember: 365-day audited record of AI models vs. Polymarket, scored by Brier
Hacker News · May 20, 2026
Ember on BetaList
BetaList
Ember-1
Hacker News · September 27, 2026
The Quantified Self Movement Is Booming in 2017
Hacker News · June 20, 2017
Customisable Journal app for Mac with self-surveys
Hacker News · August 6, 2016
Journaly: Making Journalling Automatic and Customisable
Hacker News · December 7, 2016
"Getting started with Ember.Js is easy." - No it isn't
Hacker News · March 20, 2013
Ember's Glimmer Engine
Hacker News · March 3, 2015
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