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The market is wrong. Here's the proof.
Ember is a public AI prediction engine built on a simple premise: an AI that won't show its work isn't worth trusting. Every morning at 7AM EST, three genuinely different AI models, Claude (Anthropic), Grok (xAI), and Gemini (Google), independently call live Polymarket markets before they resolve. They don't consult each other. When they disagree with the crowd by 10+ points, that divergence is flagged as a high-conviction signal. Every call is timestamped before the outcome. Accuracy is tracked using Brier scores, a calibration metric that rewards both accuracy and confidence. The model that beats the crowd most consistently across 365 days wins. Nothing is edited after the fact. Every wrong call gets a post-mortem. The record builds in public.
Fundador
emberfyicom77
Fecha de lanzamiento
April 26, 2026
Etiquetas
Precio
Gratis
Ember se lanzó en What Launched Today el April 26, 2026. Clasificado #12 de 15 lanzamientos el April 26, 2026. Etiquetado como prediction markets. Sé el primero en votar este lanzamiento. The market is wrong. Here's the proof.
17/100
Ember: 365-day audited record of AI models vs. Polymarket, scored by Brier
Hacker News · May 20, 2026
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